Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000209 0.000231 0.000255 0.000283 0.000314 0.000348 0.000388
2025-10-05 0.000170 0.000203 0.000241 0.000290 0.000349 0.000421 0.000514
2025-10-12 0.000146 0.000184 0.000231 0.000295 0.000379 0.000487 0.000638
2025-10-19 0.000126 0.000166 0.000219 0.000293 0.000396 0.000536 0.000746
2025-10-26 0.000114 0.000155 0.000212 0.000295 0.000418 0.000593 0.000871
2025-11-02 0.000102 0.000143 0.000202 0.000292 0.000429 0.000635 0.000977
2025-11-09 0.000093 0.000134 0.000195 0.000291 0.000443 0.000682 0.001098
2025-11-16 0.000084 0.000125 0.000186 0.000286 0.000450 0.000717 0.001203
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000116 0.000176 0.000278 0.000451 0.000743 0.001295
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000112 0.000174 0.000283 0.000473 0.000805 0.001459
2025-12-07 0.000069 0.000109 0.000173 0.000288 0.000496 0.000873 0.001647
2025-12-14 0.000063 0.000102 0.000166 0.000283 0.000500 0.000906 0.001768
2025-12-21 0.000058 0.000095 0.000157 0.000273 0.000496 0.000923 0.001867
2025-12-28 0.000055 0.000092 0.000156 0.000279 0.000521 0.001005 0.002118
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000090 0.000155 0.000284 0.000546 0.001087 0.002389
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000085 0.000150 0.000282 0.000556 0.001141 0.002603
2026-01-18 0.000047 0.000083 0.000148 0.000284 0.000576 0.001219 0.002892
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000079 0.000143 0.000281 0.000582 0.001267 0.003115
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000075 0.000140 0.000280 0.000595 0.001331 0.003391
2026-02-08 0.000039 0.000072 0.000135 0.000275 0.000598 0.001372 0.003615
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000068 0.000130 0.000268 0.000594 0.001397 0.003796
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000066 0.000129 0.000272 0.000618 0.001495 0.004220
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000065 0.000129 0.000277 0.000645 0.001607 0.004713